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American-Iranian crisis – Is lava affect Afghanistan? (analyzing)

UNITED STATES (OBSERVATORY NEWS) — The earthquake triggered by the escalating tension between the United States of America and Iran may have boomshots in Afghanistan, which experts are likely to be – due to the geography and the specificity of bilateral relations – in the range of the lava eruption of Washington and Tehran.

An exacerbation of tension after the killing of Qassem Soleimani, commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps, threatens a possible extension of his rebounds to the neighbor in which Iran has a strong influence, whether on some politicians or on the Shiite “Hazara” minority.

After the killing of Qassem Soleimani, several Afghan politicians made statements expressing their sorrow over the killing of the Iranian leader, led by the President of the Executive Council in Afghanistan Abdullah Abdullah and the former Afghan President Hamid Karzai.

It is known that there are strong relations between Iran and the “Taliban” in Afghanistan, and that the former leader of the armed movement, Mullah Akhtar Mansour, was killed in a US air raid upon his return from Iran in 2016.

Last year, Taliban officials visited Iran as part of the peace negotiations. Between the movement and the united states.

Potential targeting of Afghan political expert Ahmed Saeedi believes that Iran has influence and influence in Afghanistan, whether on the government, the Taliban, or even the Afghan people.

In an interview with Anatolia, Saeedi said that Tehran would try to indirectly use its influence on Afghanistan, due to the recent tension with Washington.

He added that Afghanistan is one of the countries in which Iran can target American forces, even if indirectly, after the death of Qassem Soleimani.

Saeedi indicated that there are huge American military bases in Afghanistan, and that one of them is located in the city of Herat on the Iranian border.

Saeedi pointed out that the United States controls Afghan airspace, so Iran will not be able to fight Washington directly in Afghanistan, but it can target American forces there indirectly.

He continued: “I think that Iran will try to use the ‘Fatemiyoun Brigade’ that Qasem Soleimani formed among Afghan youth against the United States, and will try to take advantage of its good relations with the Taliban, and I think that Afghanistan will be affected by that situation.”

** Peace negotiations between the Taliban and Washington

. As for Ahmed Tamim Assi, the former Afghan assistant defense minister for political and strategic affairs, he confirmed that Iran supports in all ways the Taliban movement operating near its borders.

Assi told Anatolia that in the event of a war between Iran and the United States, the Taliban-backed Taliban could withdraw from the peace agreement that is about to be signed with Washington.

The former official warned of the increase in violence in Afghan states near the Iranian border if the peace negotiations between the Taliban and Washington are suspended.

For his part, Shuja ’Hosseini Mohseni, a faculty member at the Department of Political Science at the Afghan University of Kabul, said that the recent crisis between Iran and the United States has created a state of tension and anxiety in Afghanistan.

Mohseni explained that Iran has a strong influence in Afghanistan, especially in the western regions, which also have a huge American military base.

He warned that this region would witness great tension in the event of war between the United States and Iran, pointing to the existence of a state of anxiety prevailing in the country between politicians and the people.
He added that Iran would target the United States through war by proxy, not directly.

The “Fatemiyoun Brigade”, also known as the “Afghan Hezbollah”, was established in 2013 as part of the Quds Force, which is responsible for the external operations of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, and it consists of militias, mostly Afghan immigrants belonging to the Shiite Hazara minority.

The “Fatemiyoun Brigade” played an effective role in the war in Syria, as it fought in Iraq and the Houthis in Yemen, and most of its elements are still in Syria, but some returned to Afghanistan after the war in Syria tended to favor the Assad regime.

Iran could use the Fatemiyoun militia as part of its Shiite expansion strategy.

The Afghan administration often expresses its annoyance at the exploitation of Afghan citizens in war in another country according to Tehran’s ideological goals.

Last Friday, the Pentagon announced the killing of Major General Qassem Soleimani, commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps, and Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, deputy commander of the Popular Mobilization Militia, in an air strike near the airport in the Iraqi capital, Baghdad.

The air strike killed Soleimani and a number of Iranian officers, in addition to ten people, including five Iraqis, including Abu Mahdi Al-Muhandis.

In his first comment on Soleimani’s death, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei said: “His work and his approach will not stop with his departure and he will not reach a dead end. But vengeance will await criminals.”

And declared official mourning for three days across the country and appointed his deputy, Brigadier Ismail Qani, commander of the Quds Force, before Tehran responded by announcing the Iranian Revolutionary Guard, early Wednesday, targeting two American bases in Iraq, with dozens of ballistic missiles.

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