Can Sanders beat Trump? A growing number of Democrats believe it

UNITED STATES (OBSERVATORY NEWS) — Bernie Sanders rivals in Democratic primary say Vermont senator’s nomination would guarantee re-election of Donald Trump on November 3, but growing numbers of Democratic voters say it is their best chance of ending the Republican President.

After his broad victory in Nevada caucuses on Saturday, the ability of the veteran of the primary, who assumes himself as a socialist candidate, to lead the Democratic Party to victory was at the center of the debate between contenders which took place on Tuesday evening in Caroline from the south.

All his opponents have focused their attacks on him, claiming that his ambitious leftist program, symbolized by his Medicare for All project which would replace private health insurance, would condemn the party to an electoral “catastrophe”.

But the latest delivery of the Reuters / Ipsos poll shows that a dynamic carrying the senator from Vermont has indeed taken hold at the start of the primary marathon.

Close to victory in Iowa, winner of a short header in New Hampshire and triumphant in Nevada, Sanders sees his odds increase among the Democratic electorate.

The national survey conducted between February 17 and 25 shows that 26% of Democrats and independents now believe that he is best placed to beat Donald Trump. It is six points ahead of former New York billionaire mayor Michael Bloomberg (20%) and nine times the former vice-president of Barack Obama, Joe Biden (17%).

The turnaround is spectacular: a month earlier, they were 27% to think that Biden was best placed to win against Trump against only 17% for Sanders.

In Nevada, the unhappy opponent of Hillary Clinton in 2016 demonstrated his ability to exceed his traditional base: he came out on top in most categories of gender, age, income and attracted a majority of Hispanic voters. Two notable exceptions: those over 65 and the African-American electorate.

But then again, the situation could change: the same Reuters / Ipsos poll gives it now and for the first time before Biden with the black electorate of the party.

Saturday’s primary in South Carolina will have this test value: African-Americans make up about 60% of the Democratic electorate in this South State. Three days later, “Super Tuesday” on March 3 could allow Sanders to break away inexorably in the nomination contest.

So far, he has taken full advantage of the fragmentation of the moderate vote, which has been divided among three candidates (Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg, the former mayor of South Bend in Indiana, and Senator Amy Klobuchar). Bloomberg, who skipped the first four stages of the primaries, will line up from March 3.

Faced with attacks from his rivals, Bernie Sanders says that the enthusiasm aroused by his campaign will translate into a jump in participation in the November 3 poll. He and he alone, he says, is able to mobilize young people and voters who have moved away from the polls in recent times.

During the televised debate Tuesday in Charleston, he also estimated that his opponents were on the wrong track by denouncing the alleged radicality of his ideas. “They are not. In one form or another, they exist in countries around the world,” he said.

“Health is a human right,” he added. “And we have the moral imperative to face the existential threat posed by climate change.”

Like his rivals in the Democratic primary, several Democratic parliamentarians elected during the mid-term elections in 2018 in constituencies leaning rather on the Republican side are worried about their re-election.

“I hear constituents in my riding saying they are afraid they will have to choose between a staunch socialist and an aspiring dictator,” said Florida Democrat representative Stephanie Murphy and co-chair of the Blue Dog Coalition. elected democrats moderate. “No American should have to make this choice.”


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