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“Contacts” and negotiations to resolve the Venezuelan crisis

UNITED STATES, WASHINGTON (OBSERVATORY) — Indications that the Venezuelan crisis has entered a stage of broad negotiations, from the presence of negotiators in the shadows to talk about “internal divisions” and “accounts”, although “contacts” between Washington and members of the government of President Nicolas Maduro lack To transparency and the issues at stake.

“All the parties – the Maduro government, the administration of (President Donald) Trump and the opposition led by Juan Guaido – are heading for an agreement to end the crisis and move toward a transition,” Michael Shifter, head of the Center for American Intellectual Dialogue in Washington, told AFP.

These negotiations are not limited to the dialogue initiated since May between the Venezuelan Government and the opposition.

The president revealed Tuesday that “very high-level contacts” are taking place between Washington and “a number of Venezuelan representatives.” But he did not reveal the identity of these parties.

His Venezuelan counterpart, Nicolas Maduro, who hated Trump, hastened to “confirm” these contacts, saying they had been taking place “for months” and “with his explicit consent.”

Could it be a dialogue that began between the Trump administration and this “rogue regime” that it keeps condemning?

The next day, John Bolton, President Trump’s national security adviser, put the points on the letter.

He said Venezuelan negotiators had spoken to Washington “without Maduro’s knowledge” and were only proposing “his departure and free elections.” In other words, they are making demands for Juan Guaido, who since January has been trying to oust Maduro from power.

Who is speaking from the Maduro camp to the Trump administration?

Several media reported that Diosdado Capello, president of the Constituent Assembly, could not be circumvented in the healing system. Capello did not confirm or deny that, but said Washington “believes it is capable of breaking our ranks with lies.”

– “Walker plots” –

“There are internal divisions in the Trump and Maduro governments,” he said. “Some wings fighting for power often produce contradictory messages,” he said.

Political expert Luis Salamanca said that in this “den of conspiracies” everyone tries to move their pawns and “seek a solution” to the crisis.

This South American country is experiencing the worst crisis in its modern history. Apart from political turmoil, Venezuela is suffering from economic chaos that has driven some 3.3 million of its population to emigrate since 2016, according to the United Nations.

The United States continues to strengthen its economic sanctions and pressure to push President Nicolas Maduro to leave. But Juan Guaido has not been able to reach the presidential palace since he declared himself acting president and has been recognized by some 50 countries, including the United States.

Negotiations between the opposition and the government have been under way since May under the auspices of Norway. But Maduro suspended his camp on May 7 when the Trump administration announced new sanctions against Caracas.

An opposition source said the dialogue could resume next week.

An opposition deputy said the government delegates were ready to accept early presidential elections “in exchange for the lifting of sanctions, but the United States will not accept as long as Maduro is in power.”

Sanctions that greatly affect the population force Maduro to negotiate.

“Maduro no longer has money,” Luis Salamanca said. He added that the supreme military leadership, which forms the backbone of the Venezuelan political system, “is calculating,” noting that “the structure of power is cracking and the support he enjoyed is declining.”

What is also surprising is that the Trump administration has itself conducted the negotiations, suggesting that its confidence in Juan Guaido’s ability to expel Maduro is also declining.

But analyst Louis Vicente Lyon warned that “negotiations with opportunities to produce results are not those that are announced or disclosed or disclose the identity of the conversations.”

“These means can indicate that attempts have failed.”

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