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Scientists published a scenario of nuclear war in 2025

UNITED STATES, WASHINGTON (OBSERVATORY) — US scientists have estimated the effects of a nuclear war between India and Pakistan, the portal said Ars Technica.

In a paper published in the journal Science Advances, a group of researchers modeled a conflict that could happen in 2025.

The scientists’ model is based on the assumption that by this time each country will have from 400 to 500 nuclear weapons with a capacity of up to hundreds of kilotons per warhead.

If India strikes with about a hundred strategic missiles, Pakistan will be able to deploy 150. Then 50 to 125 million people will die in a week, the researchers say.

In addition, nuclear war will lead to significant climate change. For example, after nuclear explosions, carbon-containing aerosols, in particular soot, are formed in the amount of tens of millions of tons.

Rising into the upper layers of the troposphere, aerosols will begin to absorb sunlight, and global cooling will come.

Cooling will decrease precipitation. According to scientists, they will fall on average 15-30 percent less than now. The rollback to the previous temperatures will take decades, according to the authors of the study.


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