Scotland on the road to independence?

UNITED STATES (OBSERVATORY NEWS) — Scotland has a greater path to independence that Westminster would consider legal. The 2014 referendum will never happen again.

The UK will never, of its own free will, relinquish a third of its land, most of its fisheries, minerals, its best-selling beef, fruits and whiskey, most of its renewable energy potential, vital parts of its armed forces, including its nuclear base, from the best universities in a number of key areas.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson is honest this time, stating that he has priority in uniting the Union. This is the priority of the entire British establishment.

Former Prime Minister David Cameron agreed to a 2014 referendum because he thought his outcome would destroy Scottish nationalism. At that time, 28% of the population voted for independence.

However, Westminster was shocked when, during the campaign, support for independence grew to 45%, as many heard real arguments for the first time in their lives. Whitehall’s panic during the 2014 referendum campaign is clearly not what the British establishment dares to repeat.

Some cite the naive argument that if in public opinion polls support for independence grows to 60%, Johnson and Westminster will have to “hold” a referendum. However, if support for independence is 60%, the last thing Tori will do is agree to a referendum, which she will certainly lose.

They will only increase their resistance.

There are no deputies from this party in Scotland, but 73 deputies are represented at Westminster. Johnson will not lose anything in the political sense, having lost popularity in Scotland. In England, his position against the Scots is very popular thanks to the support of poorly educated racists.

Foreign Minister Dominic Raab, speaking on television, presented an “intellectual justification” for this position: regardless of the majority desire in Scotland, the United Kingdom must impede Scotland’s independence in order to prevent the development of anarchist separatist movements throughout Europe; he meant Italy, France and Spain.

Westminster will never agree to another referendum. And there is hardly any option for holding a “legal” referendum through a court. If the court decides that the consultative referendum is legal, in accordance with the current law of Scotland, the Tories will simply adopt the new legislation in Westminster – and it will become illegal.

They already did this at Westminster to overturn the decisions of the Scottish Parliament. The Supreme Court of Great Britain has already made it clear that the sovereignty of Parliament cannot be disputed.

Scotland may become independent, but independence will be illegal under UK law.

Westminster has no right

If you believe in the independence of Scotland, you also believe that the Scottish nation is a “people”, according to the meaning of the UN Charter, and it has an inalienable right to self-determination. This means that Westminster does not have the right, in accordance with the law or by any other means, to interfere with the self-determination of Scotland.

Fact: if you think that Scotland should move towards independence only through the process endorsed by Westminster, then you don’t believe in Scotland’s independence at all.

Which brings us to Nicola Sturgeon, the leader of the Scottish National Party and the first minister of Scotland. In her shameful, sensational speech on how to develop further, after Brexit, it was directly indicated that any referendum should be held with the agreement of Westminster, otherwise it would be “illegal”. She used the words “illegal” to denigrate the very idea of ​​Scotland, acting without Westminster’s permission.

Even the most loyal independent bloggers to Sturgeon, such as James Kelly and Paul Cavanah, could not support her in this matter.

What she stated is tantamount to recognizing the legitimate and indestructible sovereignty of Britain over the Scottish people. She admits that the Union Act has forever ended the right to self-determination.

Constitutional Convention

When Sturgeon started talking about convening a constitutional congress, it was first laughed, then surprised when she outlined potential membership – elected representatives of Scotland, including members of parliament, (former) MEPs and council leaders.

Donald Tusk, former EU President, outlined Scotland’s path to independence that the international community recognizes. He confirmed everything that was already said by experts about the great sympathy in the EU for the return of Scotland.

The essence of the expert proposal is as follows:

“The Scottish Parliament must convene a National Assembly, which will bring together all the representatives of Scotland, elected at the national level: deputies, members of the European Parliament. The National Assembly should declare independence, appeal to other countries for recognition of this step, reach an agreement with the UK and organize a reinforcing plebiscite. It is legal, democratic and consistent with normal international practice.”

There are many articles explaining how Scotland can legally become an independent country without taking into account the domestic law of Great Britain.

However, it is worth remembering that there is a huge difference between a meeting of elected representatives and those appointed from the best and most worthy. The meeting proposed by Sturgeon is very different in this respect from the congress.

It is unlikely that Sturgeon convened this congress to declare independence. But the assembly of Scottish deputies, members of the European Parliament and council leaders will have a clear majority in terms of numbers and a vast majority intellectually.

The dynamics of the new constitutional body, whose members believe that they govern legitimacy, cannot be underestimated. The convening of this body will be a constitutional innovation. You must make sure that they hear the calls of a huge crowd outside their windows, demanding radical and quick changes.


This article is written and prepared by our foreign editors writing for OBSERVATORY NEWS from different countries around the world – material edited and published by OBSERVATORY staff in our newsroom.

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