Surveys lean toward Sanders, but Wall Street puts Trump on victory

UNITED STATES (OBSERVATORY NEWS) — While Senator Bernie Sanders is steadily improving his performance in polls ahead of Super Tuesday, some Wall Street investors have already made their own conclusions about what November will bring: another four years of Donald Trump’s presidency.

Ninety-five percent of respondents in a survey by Deutsche Bank of investors, economists, and other market participants, the results of which were published earlier in February, said that the Republican Trump’s dinner is either “extremely probable” or “somewhat more probable”.

These results differ from the wider polls published by the RealClearPolitics portal, which indicate the victory of one of the Democrats, although the leading candidates have more chances. The latest Reuters / Ipsos poll, conducted February 19-25, showed that, hypothetically, Sanders could win the election by a margin of 7 percentage points.

Such a gap in expectations could increase market volatility if Wall Street investors are mistaken and a Democrat wins – especially if Sanders is the winner, whose promise to split the big banks, take on pharmaceutical companies and essentially cancel private insurance in favor of a unified state plan discouraged some investors . Many on Wall Street were not ready for Trump’s victory in 2016, followed by sharp fluctuations in asset prices.

Investors are waiting for Tuesday, when the primaries will be held in 14 states. If Sanders won the lion’s share of the delegates, he could gain an overwhelming advantage among Democrats.


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